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Alt Data

Off normal: Alt Data

Everything ARCANE reads from outside the price, in one field. What traders pay for outcomes, where ships call, what the straits carry, who is hiring, and what the Pacific is doing, each placed against its own normal. The centre line is normal. The further a mark sits from it, the stranger the week.

131 readings6 of 6 measures answeringPage read Oct 7, 10:13 PM EDT

The field

Each lane has its own scale and its own normal. Point at a mark, or tab into the field and use the arrow keys.

Prediction markets

Centre: Price a week ago

Kalshi, Polymarket · data to Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT

Port calls

Centre: 2019–2023 normal for the week

IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 2, 2026

Chokepoint transits

Centre: 2019–2023 normal

IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 4, 2026

US job postings, by occupation

Centre: Same week a year earlier

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 2, 2026

Job postings, by country

Centre: Same week a year earlier

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 2, 2026

Niño 3.4 sea temperature

Centre: 1991–2020 average

NOAA Climate Prediction Center · data to Sep 30, 2026

Every reading as a table
Prediction markets · centre: price a week ago · Kalshi, Polymarket · data to Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT
ReadingOff normalDetail
Unemployment in October: Above 4.0%+20 ptsKalshi prices Above 4.0% at 92%, up 20 points on the week.
Fed decision in Oct 2026: Hold+17 ptsKalshi prices Hold at 84%, up 17 points on the week.
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...: October 31−8 ptsPolymarket prices October 31 at 9%, down 8 points on the week.
Jobs numbers in October 2026: Above 50K−4 ptsKalshi prices Above 50K at 56%, down 4 points on the week.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election: Gadi Eizenkot−4 ptsPolymarket prices Gadi Eizenkot at 44%, down 4 points on the week.
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026: ↓ $85−4 ptsPolymarket prices ↓ $85 at 70%, down 4 points on the week.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31−3 ptsPolymarket prices it at 18%, down 3 points on the week.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Above 3.5%+2 ptsKalshi prices Above 3.5% at 86%, up 2 points on the week.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026: Above 3.0%−2 ptsKalshi prices Above 3.0% at 68%, down 2 points on the week.
Recession in 2027−2 ptsKalshi prices it at 19%, down 2 points on the week.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027+2 ptsPolymarket prices it at 16%, up 2 points on the week.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...: October 31−2 ptsPolymarket prices October 31 at 6%, down 2 points on the week.
Recession this year−1 ptsKalshi prices it at 4%, down 1 points on the week.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31−1 ptsPolymarket prices it at 2%, down 1 points on the week.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027: Indonesia0 ptsPolymarket prices Indonesia at 13%, unchanged on the week.
Port calls · centre: 2019–2023 normal for the week · IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 2, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Jebel Ali−78%4.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −78% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Shanghai−37%69.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −37% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Nhava Sheva (Mumbai)+36%23.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, +36% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Kaohsiung−23%28.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −23% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Piraeus−21%12.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −21% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Santos+19%16.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, +19% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Tanger Med+16%12.4 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, +16% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Hong Kong−13%39.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −13% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Port Klang+12%32.4 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, +12% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Antwerp−12%55.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −12% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Rotterdam−11%82.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −11% against the 2019–2023 normal.
New York–New Jersey−11%10.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −11% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Shenzhen (Shekou)−10%8.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −10% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Busan−9%49.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −9% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Qingdao−8%28.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −8% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Hamburg−7%17.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −7% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Tianjin−6%29.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −6% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Savannah−5%5.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −5% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Singapore−3%115.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −3% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Los Angeles–Long Beach+2%10.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, +2% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Colombo+1%10.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, +1% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Houston−1%21.4 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, −1% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Ningbo0%47.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 2, 2026, 0% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Chokepoint transits · centre: 2019–2023 normal · IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 4, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Hormuz−97%2.7 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 89.7.
Cape of Good Hope+74%87.7 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 50.5.
Bosphorus−61%38.6 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 98.9.
Bab el-Mandeb−54%29.6 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 64.7.
Suez−31%43.1 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 62.8.
Malacca+24%226.3 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 181.9.
Danish straits−21%38.9 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 49.3.
Panama−13%27.1 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 31.1.
Taiwan Strait−7%233.0 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 250.2.
Gibraltar+1%135.1 transits a day from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, against a normal of 133.4.
US job postings, by occupation · centre: same week a year earlier · Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 2, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Mechanical Engineering+43.0%Postings at 167.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +43.0% on a year.
Industrial Engineering+36.5%Postings at 123.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +36.5% on a year.
Electrical Engineering+30.7%Postings at 152.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +30.7% on a year.
Software Development+21.7%Postings at 78.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +21.7% on a year.
Scientific Research & Development+19.7%Postings at 83.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +19.7% on a year.
Project Management+18.6%Postings at 118.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +18.6% on a year.
Human Resources+15.6%Postings at 97.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +15.6% on a year.
Dental−14.9%Postings at 117.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −14.9% on a year.
Arts & Entertainment+14.0%Postings at 87.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +14.0% on a year.
Loading & Stocking+12.8%Postings at 110.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +12.8% on a year.
Aviation+12.7%Postings at 120.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +12.7% on a year.
Childcare−12.5%Postings at 84.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), −12.5% on a year.
Production & Manufacturing+12.4%Postings at 124.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +12.4% on a year.
Banking & Finance+10.8%Postings at 106.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +10.8% on a year.
Education & Instruction−9.5%Postings at 107.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), −9.5% on a year.
Driving−9.2%Postings at 80.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), −9.2% on a year.
IT Systems & Solutions+9.2%Postings at 76.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), +9.2% on a year.
Management+8.6%Postings at 103.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +8.6% on a year.
Media & Communications+8.4%Postings at 70.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +8.4% on a year.
IT Infrastructure, Operations & Support+8.3%Postings at 69.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +8.3% on a year.
Data & Analytics+7.9%Postings at 63.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.9% on a year.
Physicians & Surgeons+7.0%Postings at 199.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.0% on a year.
Construction+6.7%Postings at 129.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +6.7% on a year.
Civil Engineering+6.7%Postings at 163.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +6.7% on a year.
Community & Social Service−6.5%Postings at 104.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), −6.5% on a year.
Social Science−6.3%Postings at 125.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), −6.3% on a year.
Accounting−6.2%Postings at 104.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −6.2% on a year.
Medical Information−6.2%Postings at 89.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −6.2% on a year.
Architecture+5.2%Postings at 92.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.2% on a year.
Hospitality & Tourism−4.7%Postings at 85.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −4.7% on a year.
Insurance+4.4%Postings at 126.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.4% on a year.
Personal Care & Home Health+4.2%Postings at 154.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.2% on a year.
Security & Public Safety+4.2%Postings at 118.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.2% on a year.
Food Preparation & Service−3.9%Postings at 94.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.9% on a year.
Marketing−3.8%Postings at 75.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.8% on a year.
Medical Technician−3.8%Postings at 123.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.8% on a year.
Installation & Maintenance+3.6%Postings at 117.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.6% on a year.
Logistic Support+3.6%Postings at 119.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.6% on a year.
Retail+3.5%Postings at 89.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.5% on a year.
Pharmacy+3.4%Postings at 126.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.4% on a year.
Therapy+3.2%Postings at 187.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.2% on a year.
Nursing−2.2%Postings at 110.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), −2.2% on a year.
Cleaning & Sanitation+1.6%Postings at 101.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +1.6% on a year.
Customer Service−1.4%Postings at 87.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), −1.4% on a year.
Administrative Assistance+1.3%Postings at 96.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +1.3% on a year.
Sales+1.3%Postings at 92.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +1.3% on a year.
Legal+0.4%Postings at 121.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +0.4% on a year.
Job postings, by country · centre: same week a year earlier · Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 2, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
France−16.9%Postings at 90.1 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −16.9% on a year.
Italy−11.4%Postings at 142.1 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −11.4% on a year.
Germany−10.7%Postings at 103.5 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −10.7% on a year.
United Kingdom−10.4%Postings at 68.1 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −10.4% on a year.
Netherlands−9.9%Postings at 111.7 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −9.9% on a year.
Ireland−6.3%Postings at 98.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −6.3% on a year.
Spain−4.6%Postings at 144.9 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, −4.6% on a year.
Australia+2.8%Postings at 154.2 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, +2.8% on a year.
United States+2.5%Postings at 103.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, +2.5% on a year.
Canada+2.0%Postings at 101.4 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 2, 2026, +2.0% on a year.
Niño 3.4 sea temperature · centre: 1991–2020 average · NOAA Climate Prediction Center · data to Sep 30, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Week of Sep 30, 2026 (newest)+3.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 30, 2026.
Week of Sep 23, 2026+3.1°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.1°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 23, 2026.
Week of Sep 16, 2026+3.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 16, 2026.
Week of Sep 2, 2026+2.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 2, 2026.
Week of Sep 9, 2026+2.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 9, 2026.
Week of Aug 12, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 12, 2026.
Week of Aug 19, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 19, 2026.
Week of Aug 26, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 26, 2026.
Week of Aug 5, 2026+2.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 5, 2026.
Week of Jul 29, 2026+2.4°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.4°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 29, 2026.
Week of Jul 22, 2026+2.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 22, 2026.
Week of Jul 15, 2026+2.1°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.1°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 15, 2026.
Week of Jul 8, 2026+2.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 8, 2026.
Week of Jun 24, 2026+1.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 24, 2026.
Week of Jun 17, 2026+1.7°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.7°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 17, 2026.
Week of Jul 1, 2026+1.7°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.7°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 1, 2026.
Week of Jun 10, 2026+1.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 10, 2026.
Week of Jun 3, 2026+1.3°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.3°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 3, 2026.
Week of May 27, 2026+1.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 27, 2026.
Week of Apr 29, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Apr 29, 2026.
Week of May 13, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 13, 2026.
Week of May 20, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 20, 2026.
Week of Apr 22, 2026+0.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Apr 22, 2026.
Week of May 6, 2026+0.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 6, 2026.
Week of Apr 15, 2026+0.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Apr 15, 2026.
Week of Apr 8, 2026+0.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Apr 8, 2026.

The Pacific, week by week

NOAA Climate Prediction Center · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · data to Sep 30, 2026

+3.2°C

Niño 3.4, week of Sep 30, 2026
NOAA status: El Niño Advisory

Apr 8, 2026Each stripe one week, against the 1991–2020 average. Amber warmer, blue cooler; deeper colour, larger departure.Sep 30, 2026

Where Washington’s money went this week

USAspending · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · newest Oct 1, 2026

The 50 largest new federal contracts signed Oct 1, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026, $415M together, blocked by the agency that signed them. Area is dollars. The solid tiles are winners that trade on a US exchange (2 this week).

Fedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$25.0MFederal Express Corporation$25.0MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$17.5MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$17.2MFederal Express Corporation$15.0MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$13.8MPrimary Care Solutions Inc$13.4MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$10.9MVanderbilt University Medical Center$9.5MCitadel Federal Solutions LLC$9.2MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$9.0MM-Pak, Inc.$8.9MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$8.7MFederal Express Corporation$7.5MDGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$7.2MFederal Express Corporation$7.1MPinter Memorials Inc$6.5MMATWMatthews International Corporation$6.4MPinter Memorials Inc$6.3MColumbus Marble Works, Inc.$5.9MChristus Santa Rosa Health Care Corporation$5.9MOne Life Transportation LLC$5.2MFederal Express Corporation$5.2MConstellation Newenergy, Inc.$5.2MFederal Express Corporation$5.1MVanderbilt University Medical Center$4.9MGovtranz, LLC$4.9MValor Healthcare Inc$4.8MTeg Hotels, LLC$4.8MSolvet Services, LLC$4.7MAmerican Veteran Contracting Solutions LLC$4.6MUniversity Of Louisville$4.5MAnsible Government Solutions LLC$4.3MNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation$4.1MY Access Transport, LLC$4.1MValor Healthcare Inc$4.0MConstellation Newenergy, Inc.$4.0MAssisted Transportation Corp$4.0MJan-Care Ambulance Of Raleigh County, Inc.$3.8MAce Consulting Company, Inc.$3.8MMclaren Port Huron$3.8MJmg Veteran Contracting LLC$3.8MFederal Express Corporation$3.6MConstellation Newenergy, Inc.$3.6MAppointed Worldwide Holdings LLC$3.6MFederal Express Corporation$3.6MVolunteers Of America Of Florida Inc$3.5MVeterans Monument Company, LLC$3.5MModesto Management LLC$3.5M
General Dynamics Information Technology, Inc.$60.5M
Fedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$25.0MFederal Express Corporation$25.0MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$17.5MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$17.2MFederal Express Corporation$15.0MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$13.8MPrimary Care Solutions Inc$13.4MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$10.9MVanderbilt University Medical Center$9.5MCitadel Federal Solutions LLC$9.2MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$9.0MM-Pak, Inc.$8.9MFedex Supply Chain Distribution System, Inc.$8.7MFederal Express Corporation$7.5MDGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$7.2MFederal Express Corporation$7.1MPinter Memorials Inc$6.5MMATWMatthews International Corporation$6.4MPinter Memorials Inc$6.3MColumbus Marble Works, Inc.$5.9MChristus Santa Rosa Health Care Corporation$5.9MOne Life Transportation LLC$5.2MFederal Express Corporation$5.2MConstellation Newenergy, Inc.$5.2MFederal Express Corporation$5.1MVanderbilt University Medical Center$4.9MGovtranz, LLC$4.9MValor Healthcare Inc$4.8MTeg Hotels, LLC$4.8MSolvet Services, LLC$4.7MAmerican Veteran Contracting Solutions LLC$4.6MUniversity Of Louisville$4.5MAnsible Government Solutions LLC$4.3MNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation$4.1MY Access Transport, LLC$4.1MValor Healthcare Inc$4.0MConstellation Newenergy, Inc.$4.0MAssisted Transportation Corp$4.0MJan-Care Ambulance Of Raleigh County, Inc.$3.8MAce Consulting Company, Inc.$3.8MMclaren Port Huron$3.8MJmg Veteran Contracting LLC$3.8MFederal Express Corporation$3.6MConstellation Newenergy, Inc.$3.6MAppointed Worldwide Holdings LLC$3.6MFederal Express Corporation$3.6MVolunteers Of America Of Florida Inc$3.5MVeterans Monument Company, LLC$3.5MModesto Management LLC$3.5M
General Dynamics Information Technology, Inc.$60.5M

Point at a tile, or tab to it, to read the award. Each opens on USAspending.gov.

The five pages

Every source and its limits →
  1. 01

    Prediction markets

    What traders pay for the Fed, inflation, recession, war and trade outcomes

    Kalshi, Polymarket · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · priced Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT

    84%

    Fed decision in Oct 2026: hold

  2. 02

    Shipping

    Chokepoint transits and port calls against normal, from ship positions

    IMF PortWatch · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · data to Oct 2, 2026

    3 of 10

    Straits binding: Bosphorus, Bab el-Mandeb, Hormuz

  3. 03

    Procurement

    New federal contracts this week, and which listed companies won them

    USAspending · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · newest Oct 1, 2026

    $415M

    Top 50 new awards, 7 days

  4. 04

    Satellite & environment

    El Niño, active storms, major quakes and open natural events

    NOAA · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · data to Sep 30, 2026

    +3.2°C

    Niño 3.4 · El Niño Advisory

  5. 05

    Hiring

    Job postings by country and occupation, weeks before payrolls

    Indeed Hiring Lab · read Oct 7, 8:28 PM EDT · data to Oct 2, 2026

    +2.5%

    US job postings on a year, seasonally adjusted

ARCANE reporting

Investigations built on alternative evidence
Early WarningAsian port congestion leaves container lines a steep climb back onto scheduleSea-Intelligence's August reading, expected within days, will show whether July's sharp drop in on-time vessel arrivals was a passing jam or a longer slide, and whether carriers and the cargo owners waiting on their ships face more months of late arrivals.Early WarningChina builds Antelope Reef into an island big enough for a runwayVietnam and a busy shipping corridor would sit within reach of any airfield built on the new ground, and satellite images will show first whether one comes.SemiconductorsAXT plans Beijing indium-phosphide wafer expansion while U.S. approvals remain unresolvedAXT’s unresolved August approvals make the next filing window decisive for whether funded capacity becomes usable supply for U.S. buyers.ArchiveChina’s transformer shipments outpaced all published U.S. grid-capacity projectionsThe Trump administration banned key grid equipment as China’s exports surged, leaving American utilities exposed to global delivery delays documented in customs data.ArchivePanama Canal auction bids now shape shipping costs more than tollsWith official rates held flat, the canal’s open auction for scarce transit slots now determines real prices for ships in passage, reflecting peak demand and urgency.

How Alt Data admits a source

Every source and its limits →
01Public and checkable

Every source is published by the body that measures it and free to read, and each figure links to it.

02Dated

Each figure shows the date its data runs to and when ARCANE last read it.

03Limits stated

Each source’s registry entry says what it cannot tell you, beside what it measures.

04Nothing in its place

A source that stops answering is shown as unavailable, with the time it stopped. No sample, estimate or old figure stands in for it.

Alt Data · ARCANE