Pilot Validation Scenarios

How Institutional Investors Could Use Our Platform

Projected use cases and potential outcomes based on our 17-year backtested performance. Seeking pilot partners to validate in real-world conditions.

Pilot Scenario: $500M Quant Fund - Drawdown Prevention

Hypothetical Quantitative Hedge Fund$500M AUM

Challenge

March 2020: COVID-19 market crash. Many funds suffered 25-30% drawdowns. Traditional risk systems failed to provide early warning.

Solution

In this scenario, a fund would integrate our API into their risk monitoring system. Our backtested signals showed Alert (State 1) detection 4 weeks before the March 2020 peak drawdown.

Results

Projected: Portfolio de-risked 2-4 weeks early
Estimated drawdown reduction: 8% vs market's 34%
Potential capital preserved: ~$150M
Earlier recovery to pre-crisis levels
"Pilot Objective: Validate whether our early warning signals translate to actionable risk reduction in real portfolio conditions."

Validation Goal, Hypothetical Quantitative Hedge Fund

Pilot Scenario: $2B Asset Manager - Risk-Adjusted Returns

Hypothetical Multi-Strategy Asset Manager$2B AUM

Challenge

2021-2022: Bull market turned into bear market. Traditional volatility indicators (VIX) were reactive, not predictive.

Solution

In this scenario, an asset manager would use our system for macro regime monitoring and multi-factor attribution. Our 2022 backtested signals detected the bear market shift on day 1.

Results

Projected: Earlier detection of 2022 regime shift
Estimated: Reduced equity exposure before selloff
Target: Improved Sharpe ratio through timing
Goal: Benchmark outperformance via risk reduction
"Pilot Objective: Test if regime detection signals improve portfolio construction and risk-adjusted returns in live market conditions."

Validation Goal, Hypothetical Multi-Strategy Asset Manager

Pilot Scenario: $150M Family Office - Capital Preservation

Hypothetical Family Office$150M AUM

Challenge

2022 tech selloff: NASDAQ down 33%. Many family offices heavily allocated to growth stocks faced major drawdowns.

Solution

In this scenario, a family office would monitor their core holdings (AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA, NVDA) with conservative alert thresholds. Our backtested signals showed regime warnings in January 2022.

Results

Projected: Early warning before major selloff
Estimated: Shift 30-40% to defensive positions
Target: Reduced portfolio drawdown vs benchmark
Goal: Capital preservation validation
"Pilot Objective: Prove whether early regime detection enables family offices to preserve capital during market downturns."

Validation Goal, Hypothetical Family Office

Pilot Program Objectives

1-3 weeks

Backtested advance warning - seeking real-world validation

88.7%

Historical recall accuracy - testing in live markets

3 months

Free pilot program to validate value proposition

Help Us Validate These Scenarios

Join our free 3-month pilot program. Test whether our backtested signals translate to real-world value for your portfolio and risk management process.